Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecee…a577
sports · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19,204 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,135 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$21,135
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses17 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$1,133
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
History coverage177d
Avg bet$948
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$13,586
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 17¢ 0¢ $100 $3 −$97 (-97%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 16¢ 0¢ $845 $0 −$845 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $4,708 $0 −$4,708 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 37¢ 0¢ $1,084 $0 −$1,084 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 26? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Spirit 15¢ 0¢ $2,046 $0 −$2,046 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Wildcard 21¢ 0¢ $485 $0 −$485 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage PARIVISION 19¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs BetBoom Team 29¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs EYEBALLERS 65¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A FUT Esports 17¢ 0¢ $366 $0 −$366 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage TheMongolz 54¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $987 $0 −$987 (-100%)
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No 19¢ 0¢ $1,023 $0 −$1,023 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs MOUZ 30¢ 0¢ $1,178 $0 −$1,178 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner Spirit 36¢ 0¢ $761 $0 −$761 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage PARIVISION 45¢ 0¢ $999 $0 −$999 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Natus Vincere 15¢ 0¢ $1,128 $0 −$1,128 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 33¢ 0¢ $484 $0 −$484 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs FURIA 26¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 21¢ 0¢ $740 $0 −$740 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs Aurora Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $548 $0 −$548 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Astralis 18¢ 0¢ $529 $0 −$529 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $414 −$404 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $4,733 −$4,708 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner May 23 $757 −$740 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $1,948 −$1,888 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 17 $690 −$637 -92%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 17 $1,751 −$1,750 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 16 $296 −$290 -98%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 16 $205 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $666 −$649 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner May 16 $494 −$484 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner May 16 $779 −$764 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $1,178 −$1,178 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $2,157 −$81 -4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 15 $978 +$622 +64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 15 $983 −$434 -44%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $1,366 +$2,208 +162%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 15 $523 +$227 +43%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 15 $1,376 +$1,173 +85%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 15 $1,127 +$499 +44%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 15 $2,431 +$465 +19%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner May 15 $826 +$962 +116%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 13 $1,084 −$1,084 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $1,295 −$713 -55%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $318 −$310 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 11 $1,116 −$100 -9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $1,519 +$2,154 +142%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $1,818 −$970 -53%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 09 $1,000 −$999 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoff May 03 $1,154 −$1,128 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 29 $487 −$337 -69%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $2,099 −$2,046 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner Apr 19 $774 −$761 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $662 −$662 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Apr 19 $800 −$785 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Apr 18 $750 −$739 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 18 $390 −$381 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 18 $2,496 +$3,120 +125%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 17 $1,005 −$987 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Apr 14 $402 −$393 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $382 +$22 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $505 −$122 -24%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 11 $542 −$529 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playof Apr 10 $501 −$501 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Apr 09 $1,495 −$463 -31%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $541 −$141 -26%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta Apr 08 $497 −$485 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 08 $208 +$289 +139%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 08 $122 +$86 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Apr 06 $498 −$376 -76%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta Apr 06 $62 −$61 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$18,232
crypto 4% −$502
politics 2% −$1,495
other 2% −$1,023
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $102 37m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $1,003 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 3¢ $21 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 93¢ $313 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 84¢ $84 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 83¢ $208 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 80¢ $160 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 75¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 75¢ $189 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $940 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 58¢ $944 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $99 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $503 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P BUY Team Falcons 15¢ $48 21d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $350 21d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $15 21d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $417 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $5 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $17 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $4 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $25 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $6 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $18 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $34 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1 22d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $360 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 15 -83.9% -85.4% 7% 7% -86.9%
≤90d 59 -51.2% -55.8% 22% 20% -41.4%
all 69 -11.3% -19.7% 25% 23% -40.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.7% 23% -40.4%
10% -27.4% 22% -46.1%
15% -34.4% 22% -51.3%
20% -40.9% 19% -56.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.24 · official $3.24 (match) · 648 history records