Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T05:24:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EC 0xeccb…f337 crypto 122 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (102 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$16 (-1%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate75%92W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day102.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (102 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 71% -12.8%
≤30d 122 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 71% -12.8%
≤90d 122 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 71% -12.8%
all 122 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 71% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover102.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 71% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 37% -21.2%
15% -28.0% 16% -28.8%
20% -35.1% 4% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses92 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)122 / 122
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day102.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 122 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$10 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $22 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$5 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$5 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$3 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $13 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $12 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 265 history records