Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:17:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EC 0xecca…136b crypto 405 markets active 1d ago coverage 407d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$112 (-0%) realized −$112 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%394W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$92per market
Trades / day1.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 60% +$35
sports 40% −$148
other 0% +$2
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 26 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 86 -2.2% -11.5% 98% 0% -10.7%
all 405 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 1% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 1% -9.8%
10% -19.5% 1% -18.4%
15% -27.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$21 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

407d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses394 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)405 / 405
History coverage407d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 405 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 17? Jun 17 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $118 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $117 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 04 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? Jun 03 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2? Jun 02 $115 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30? May 30 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? May 28 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? May 27 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? May 26 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? May 25 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24? May 24 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 23? May 23 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22? May 22 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? May 21 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20? May 20 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19? May 19 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 18? May 18 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17? May 17 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 16? May 16 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15? May 15 $112 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14? May 14 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13? May 13 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12? May 12 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? May 11 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9? May 09 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8? May 08 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? May 07 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6? May 06 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5? May 05 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4? May 04 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3? May 03 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? May 02 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 1? May 01 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30? Apr 30 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 25? Apr 25 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24? Apr 24 $109 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $118 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $117 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $117 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $117 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? BUY Yes 100¢ $116 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $116 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $116 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $115 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $115 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $115 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $115 18d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? BUY Yes 100¢ $115 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $114 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $114 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 24d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 25d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $113 29d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $113 30d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $113 30d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17? BUY No 100¢ $113 31d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 16? BUY No 100¢ $113 32d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $112 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 826 history records