Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecc0…9dbf
sports · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$97 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$479 · open −$124
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$219
Realized−$479
Unrealized−$124
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses23 / 25
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions4
Markets (closed)48 / 52
History coverage135d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$188
7 days−$452
14 days−$452
30 days−$452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 36¢ 27¢ $289 $216 −$74 (-26%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 15¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 19¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
US government shutdown Saturday? No 30¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner HEROIC Academy 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 20¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 15¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs WRAITH PCIFIC 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 12¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $81 +$36 +44%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $36 +$11 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $31 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $43 +$29 +68%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$11 +25%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $56 +$39 +69%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$8 +39%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 +$24 +180%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 +$30 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$23 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $66 −$11 -17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $106 +$62 +58%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $74 +$25 +34%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $181 −$177 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $354 −$350 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$10 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $241 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $264 +$48 +18%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 −$6 -93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $56 −$51 -90%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $173 −$10 -6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $83 −$26 -32%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $128 +$56 +44%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $111 +$16 +14%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $99 −$98 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $94 +$35 +38%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$18 +18%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 +$1 +85%
US government shutdown Saturday? Jan 30 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$576
politics 1% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 24¢ $91 10m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 15¢ $5 17m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $203 46m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 23¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 89¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 62¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 14¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 62¢ $71 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 2¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 20¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 19¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 81¢ $46 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $30 3h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL Virtus.pro 58¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 21¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 37¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 8¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 28¢ $22 6h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 10¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 16¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $1 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 87¢ $2 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 72¢ $2 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 69¢ $16 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $8 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $10 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $11 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+44.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +62.6% +47.1% 49% 45% -29.7%
≤30d 47 +62.6% +47.1% 49% 45% -29.7%
≤90d 47 +62.6% +47.1% 49% 45% -29.7%
all 48 +59.2% +44.0% 48% 44% -30.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +44.0% 44% -30.6%
10% +30.2% 38% -37.3%
15% +17.7% 35% -43.3%
20% +6.1% 21% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.47 · official $219.47 (match) · 158 history records