Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:13:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecbe…42ff
crypto · 135 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$7,534 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,534 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,534
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses56 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$2,531
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
Avg bet$1,980
Trades / day275.2
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$611
7 days+$5,045
14 days+$7,534
30 days+$7,534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 12 $1,444 +$220 +15%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $3,278 +$78 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7,414 +$83 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7,920 +$80 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2,017 +$4 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50,785 −$349 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $56 −$17 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $1,920 +$51 +3%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $279 −$170 -61%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $169 −$60 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$28 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $12,647 +$752 +6%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $187 −$4 -2%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 +$109 +330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,007 −$19 -2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $18 −$18 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $2,400 +$120 +5%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1,260 −$26 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $77 −$28 -37%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $22 −$14 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $18 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$24 +94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $6,240 +$60 +1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 09 $12 +$4 +35%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 08 $287 +$55 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% +$4,324
other 42% +$685
finance 9% +$2,156
world 1% +$263
crypto 0% +$169
politics 0% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $7 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $7 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $4 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $540 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $11 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 39¢ $4 3h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $48 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $12 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $11 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -7.4% -16.2% 45% 27% -6.7%
≤30d 135 -15.1% -23.2% 41% 21% -7.0%
≤90d 135 -15.1% -23.2% 41% 21% -7.0%
all 135 -15.1% -23.2% 41% 21% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.2% 21% -7.0%
10% -30.5% 18% -15.9%
15% ← realistic here -37.2% 16% -24.0%
20% -43.4% 13% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records