trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +6.7% | -3.5% | 89% | 50% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -8.5% | -17.3% | 76% | 43% | -3.4% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 67% | 41% | -3.5% |
| all | 32 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 72% | 47% | -2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 47% | -2.5% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 25% | -11.8% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 16% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 9% | -28.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Over | 80¢ | 60¢ | $40 | $30 | −$10 (-26%) |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Over | 72¢ | 70¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-63%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $44 | +$6 | +13% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $49 | +$6 | +12% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 16 | $92 | +$8 | +8% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $104 | −$14 | -13% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 | Jun 16 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $43 | +$7 | +17% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $90 | +$9 | +10% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $90 | +$9 | +10% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $39 | +$11 | +27% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $101 | +$20 | +20% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $94 | +$6 | +6% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $31 | +$5 | +15% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $9 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? | May 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 21? | May 21 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 21 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 05 | $5 | +$4 | +89% |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $50 | +$12 | +24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Mar 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Mar 31 | $4 | −$1 | -18% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Mar 15 | $65 | +$7 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15 | Mar 15 | $2 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15? | Mar 15 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 14? | Mar 14 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14? | Mar 14 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |