trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -34.4% | -40.6% | 22% | 22% | -48.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 35% | 35% | -48.1% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 37% | 37% | -32.2% |
| all | 30 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 37% | 37% | -32.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.3% | 37% | -32.2% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 37% | -38.7% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 37% | -44.6% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 30% | -50.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $7,348 | $5,742 | −$1,606 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $668 | −$653 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $113 | −$110 | -97% |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $81 | −$79 | -97% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $100 | +$140 | +140% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $96 | −$95 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $105 | +$82 | +78% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$10 | -24% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $645 | −$22 | -3% |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $29 | −$28 | -97% |
| Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? | Jun 05 | $82 | −$80 | -97% |
| Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 05 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $61 | +$101 | +165% |
| Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Iceland? | May 31 | $11 | +$19 | +185% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $69 | +$45 | +65% |
| Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? | May 31 | $16 | +$20 | +129% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $241 | −$236 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | May 16 | $89 | −$87 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC? | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 16 | $109 | −$10 | -9% |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? | May 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 10 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01? | May 10 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | May 10 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? | May 08 | $225 | +$85 | +38% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $104 | +$76 | +73% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 06 | $28 | +$16 | +57% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? | May 02 | $44 | +$241 | +549% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? | May 01 | $65 | −$3 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 18 | $30 | +$12 | +39% |