Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec8d…dd71
sports · 431 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$26,921 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,553 · open +$25,720
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55,037
Realized+$1,553
Unrealized+$25,720
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses214 / 330
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$7,338
Open positions3
Markets (closed)544 / 431
History coverage54d
Avg bet$2,681
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 3 History 544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128,778
7 days−$110,371
14 days−$106,561
30 days−$67,757
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 100¢ $22,754 $48,414 +$25,659 (+113%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $6,559 $6,621 +$62 (+1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 42¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 41¢ 0¢ $6,701 $0 −$6,701 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina Linda Noskova 36¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Mirra Andreeva Antonia Ruzic 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Daniel Altmaier 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 22¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 27¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 50¢ 0¢ $557 $0 −$557 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? No 57¢ 0¢ $2,476 $0 −$2,476 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-10.5) Warriors 50¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Gael Monfils 32¢ 0¢ $4,986 $0 −$4,986 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn Ethan Quinn 44¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 18¢ 0¢ $9,000 $0 −$9,000 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Cavaliers 71¢ 0¢ $632 $0 −$632 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 46¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $992 $0 −$992 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? No 59¢ 0¢ $7,110 $0 −$7,110 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $2,476 −$2,666 -108%
Spread: Warriors (-10.5) Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $4,986 −$3,767 -76%
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $337 −$337 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $684 −$684 -100%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,806 −$1,806 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $181 −$181 -100%
Spread: Flyers (-1.5) Jun 12 $218 −$218 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1,114 −$1,114 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $10,025 −$10,094 -101%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $2,577 −$2,203 -86%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $848 −$848 -100%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Jun 12 $1,704 −$1,704 -100%
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston Jun 12 $978 −$978 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $2 +$1,246 +71665%
Spread: Penguins (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Jun 12 $65 −$76 -117%
Wild vs. Blues Jun 12 $353 −$414 -117%
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) Jun 12 $278 −$278 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
76ers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $224 −$224 -100%
Stars vs. Sabres Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 12 $3,490 −$3,504 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Jun 12 $3,329 −$3,329 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $2,389 −$2,389 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Li Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $402 −$402 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova Jun 12 $346 −$346 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,297 −$1,297 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Jun 12 $255 −$255 -100%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,818 −$1,818 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $947 −$947 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 12 $4,057 −$4,057 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $2,907 −$2,907 -100%
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 12 $612 −$612 -100%
Spread: Hawks (-7.5) Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$94,530
sports 38% +$63,808
world 1% −$1,039
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 47¢ $833 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $7,182 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $22 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $49 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $3 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $2 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $207 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $29 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $27 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $3 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $43 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $9 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $17 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $56 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $8 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $12 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $3 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $9 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $521 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $27 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $89 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $12 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -72.6% -75.2% 6% 5% -70.9%
≤30d 308 -32.1% -38.6% 31% 29% -18.6%
≤90d 544 -7.1% -15.9% 39% 38% -9.1%
all 544 -7.1% -15.9% 39% 38% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 38% -9.1%
10% -24.0% 37% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -31.3% 36% -25.8%
20% -38.1% 33% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55,037.17 · official $55,037.17 (match) · 3500 history records