Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec81…4b57
crypto · 1429 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$830 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$830 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$830
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses773 / 689
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1462 / 1429
History coverage39d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day64.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,339
7 days−$2,141
14 days−$1,129
30 days−$1,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 5AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 11PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 5AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 8AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,580
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 347 -53.0% -57.5% 29% 23% -45.1%
≤30d 1223 -13.1% -21.4% 52% 43% -13.8%
≤90d 1462 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 45% -12.0%
all 1462 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 45% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 45% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 36% -20.4%
15% -34.0% 27% -28.1%
20% -40.5% 21% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records