Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec7e…3c5c
crypto · 1246 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$128 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses169 / 1091
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1260 / 1246
History coverage42d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1260 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 -9.4% -18.0% 44% 42% -17.1%
≤30d 332 -9.8% -18.4% 44% 42% -17.7%
≤90d 1260 -3.5% -12.7% 13% 11% -11.8%
all 1260 -3.5% -12.7% 13% 11% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 11% -11.8%
10% -21.1% 10% -20.2%
15% -28.7% 3% -28.0%
20% -35.7% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records