Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec7e…09e2
weather · 862 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$211 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$267 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$267
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses50 / 612
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions200
Markets (closed)662 / 862
History coverage143d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 200 History 662 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$55
14 days−$60
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 16? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+270%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-42%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+60%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15? Yes 9¢ 18¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16? Yes 4¢ 8¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+112%)
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 16? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 16? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 7¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+77%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-40%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 15? Yes 5¢ 12¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+130%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+121%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 16? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 16? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-47%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$13 +2073%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $0 $0 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $0 $0 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$17 +2560%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $0 +$4 +1660%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +481%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -44%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 +78%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1026%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +402%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 +83%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +547%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +2057%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$126
weather 34% −$114
other 6% −$47
sports 4% −$6
tech 1% $0
politics 0% −$4
economics 0% $0
finance 0% −$2
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 16? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 13m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 16 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 16m
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 19m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 19m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 25m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 25m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 16? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-52.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 315 -34.0% -40.3% 7% 7% -43.4%
≤30d 376 -36.7% -42.7% 7% 7% -52.4%
≤90d 409 -40.9% -46.6% 7% 7% -60.7%
all 662 -47.4% -52.4% 8% 7% -40.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -52.4% 7% -40.9%
10% -57.0% 7% -46.5%
15% -61.1% 6% -51.7%
20% -65.0% 6% -56.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.92 · official $42.71 (match) · 3500 history records