Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec7c…4ead
crypto · 665 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses222 / 442
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)664 / 665
History coverage95d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$27
14 days−$28
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$91
weather 1% −$7
sports 1% +$5
culture 1% −$7
world 0% −$7
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -47.5% -52.5% 25% 20% -31.6%
≤30d 93 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 23% -28.0%
≤90d 439 -46.0% -51.1% 21% 18% -36.7%
all 664 -19.6% -27.3% 33% 30% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.3% 30% -17.4%
10% -34.2% 27% -25.3%
15% -40.6% 24% -32.5%
20% -46.4% 22% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.04 (match) · 1722 history records