Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec69…6fba
sports · 286 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$100,254 -53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99,934 · open −$159
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$727
Realized−$99,934
Unrealized−$159
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses197 / 475
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Est. fees paid−$2,050
Open positions8
Markets (closed)672 / 286
History coverage14d
Avg bet$656
Trades / day215.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 8 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94,853
7 days−$97,370
14 days−$99,934
30 days−$99,934
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 52¢ 81¢ $236 $367 +$131 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 83¢ 64¢ $182 $141 −$41 (-22%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 77¢ 42¢ $139 $75 −$64 (-46%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 48¢ 58¢ $45 $55 +$10 (+22%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 95¢ 96¢ $43 $43 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 47¢ 26¢ $57 $31 −$26 (-46%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 44¢ 8¢ $79 $15 −$64 (-81%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 45¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 31¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 48¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 57¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season VfB eSports 19¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 57¢ 0¢ $553 $0 −$553 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 63¢ 0¢ $1,210 $0 −$1,210 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 93¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Yi Zhou 20¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Fnatic 36¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A Hashiras 52¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Li Tu 81¢ 0¢ $993 $0 −$993 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Guangzhou Loong Lions 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $83 −$76 -92%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $212 −$505 -239%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $1,210 −$1,518 -125%
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 12 $235 −$195 -83%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $426 −$409 -96%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $20 −$91 -450%
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Jun 12 $993 −$1,923 -194%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $3 +$24 +910%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 12 $0 +$91 +55139%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 12 $407 −$407 -100%
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 12 $23 +$282 +1252%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $622 −$344 -55%
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $18 −$28 -150%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $118 −$117 -99%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $409 −$191 -47%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chall Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,027 −$1,027 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gr Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playo Jun 12 $268 −$268 -100%
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 12 $32 +$4 +12%
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime Leag Jun 12 $454 −$454 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $255 −$355 -140%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $124 −$106 -85%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $92 −$72 -77%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Se Jun 12 $22 −$60 -277%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 12 $22 +$336 +1534%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $224 −$197 -88%
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $237 −$216 -91%
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $311 −$77 -25%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $378 −$378 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 12 $241 −$223 -92%
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 12 $136 −$312 -229%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $1,628 −$1,210 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$4,124
other 2% +$1,681
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $167 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $167 2m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $8 9m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $29 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 77¢ $155 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $560 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 77¢ $155 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $89 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $64 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 69¢ $139 13m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 35¢ $9 16m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 77¢ $140 16m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $36 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $2 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $85 20m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 49¢ $6 21m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 52¢ $105 21m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 51¢ $103 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $97 26m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 61¢ $123 26m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 55¢ $11 26m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 52¢ $105 37m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 51¢ $103 37m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 89¢ $179 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $75 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $75 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $61 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $54 42m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $599 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 492 +23.7% +11.9% 19% 17% -59.9%
≤30d 672 +19.2% +7.8% 29% 24% -41.9%
≤90d 672 +19.2% +7.8% 29% 24% -41.9%
all 672 +19.2% +7.8% 29% 24% -41.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover215.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.8% 24% -41.9%
10% ← realistic here -2.5% 20% -47.4%
15% -11.9% 16% -52.5%
20% -20.6% 14% -57.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $727.18 · official $751.81 · 3500 history records