Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec5e…32c9
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses21 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +5.4% -4.7% 66% 56% -9.9%
≤30d 32 +5.4% -4.7% 66% 56% -9.9%
≤90d 32 +5.4% -4.7% 66% 56% -9.9%
all 32 +5.4% -4.7% 66% 56% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 56% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 50% -18.5%
15% -22.1% 34% -26.4%
20% -29.8% 28% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records