Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec5c…c718
crypto · 401 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses171 / 227
Open positions3
Markets (closed)398 / 401
History coverage20d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day81.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$71
14 days+$11
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes 41¢ 25¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-39%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 57¢ 20¢ $20 $7 −$13 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 71¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$49
weather 8% +$51
other 3% −$14
world 1% +$10
finance 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -14.4% -22.5% 40% 37% -13.6%
≤30d 398 -10.7% -19.2% 43% 37% -9.4%
≤90d 398 -10.7% -19.2% 43% 37% -9.4%
all 398 -10.7% -19.2% 43% 37% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 37% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 32% -18.1%
15% -34.0% 29% -26.0%
20% -40.5% 23% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.56 · official $17.05 (match) · 1890 history records