Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:35:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EC 0xec5a…7fa7 crypto 706 markets active 6d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (473 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$588 (+9%) realized +$588 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate58%413W / 293L
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day473.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$360
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (473 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 +9.4% -1.0% 58% 54% -1.9%
≤30d 706 +6.9% -3.3% 58% 53% -4.3%
≤90d 706 +6.9% -3.3% 58% 53% -4.3%
all 706 +6.9% -3.3% 58% 53% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover473.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 53% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 50% -13.5%
15% -21.0% 41% -21.9%
20% -28.7% 29% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$588
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses413 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)706 / 706
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day473.2
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 706 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$7 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$7 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$10 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$24 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$16 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records