Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EC 0xec4c…b9c6 crypto 175 markets active 6d ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$569 (-8%) realized −$569 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate66%115W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day139.4pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 24d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$104
sports 8% −$577
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +0.8% -8.8% 71% 28% -18.4%
≤30d 125 +0.8% -8.8% 71% 28% -18.4%
≤90d 175 +11.3% +0.7% 66% 32% -17.8%
all 175 +11.3% +0.7% 66% 32% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 32% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -8.9% 15% -25.6%
15% -17.7% 10% -32.8%
20% -25.8% 7% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +21% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
16.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.41 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$569
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses115 / 60
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day139.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 175 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $577 −$577 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$12 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $107 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$10 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $54 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $66 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $69 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $75 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $74 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$35 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $145 −$3 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $85 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $349 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $125 −$40 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $118 +$13 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $43 +$8 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $105 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $56 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $102 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $90 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $109 −$13 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $58 −$11 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $92 −$15 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $79 +$28 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $102 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $175 −$47 -27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 76¢ $19 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 74¢ $51 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 87¢ $507 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records