Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec39…50ac
crypto · 208 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$212 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$207
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses106 / 94
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions8
Markets (closed)200 / 208
History coverage10d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 8 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days−$134
14 days−$207
30 days−$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 21¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? No 48¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 34¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? No 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? No 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? No 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? No 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? No 13¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7? No 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$34 +509%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$76 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $6 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $19 −$4 -18%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5 −$4 -70%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +107%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 +$1 +18%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 11 $6 +$2 +38%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $21 −$8 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$126
other 18% −$13
sports 6% −$23
world 3% −$14
politics 3% −$8
culture 2% −$4
finance 2% −$14
weather 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $3 6m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $3 6m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 48¢ $3 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 21¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $45 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +24.6% +12.7% 50% 35% -14.0%
≤30d 200 +14.4% +3.5% 53% 33% -13.3%
≤90d 200 +14.4% +3.5% 53% 33% -13.3%
all 200 +14.4% +3.5% 53% 33% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 33% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 15% -21.6%
15% -15.4% 10% -29.1%
20% -23.7% 6% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.69 · official $23.35 (match) · 725 history records