Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec35…3c89
crypto · 286 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,692 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,692 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,692
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses118 / 168
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)286 / 286
History coverage549d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 286 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$34
14 days−$158
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$59 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$19 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +89%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $75 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$38 +145%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$15 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$11 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$9 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 03 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Jun 02 $245 −$243 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 02 $145 −$40 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 02 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 01 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Jun 01 $60 −$44 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Jun 01 $212 +$156 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 01 $151 +$93 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 01 $109 +$23 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 01 $19 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$9 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $110 +$41 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 01 $152 −$13 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $21 −$18 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $146 +$77 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $6 +$7 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $110 −$22 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 01 $58 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13? May 13 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? May 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$1,572
sports 11% −$182
other 1% +$62
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 77¢ $82 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $16 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 69¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $42 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $58 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -1.0% -10.4% 52% 43% -16.1%
≤30d 45 +6.3% -3.8% 42% 38% -16.5%
≤90d 111 -12.1% -20.5% 40% 34% -20.1%
all 286 -3.8% -13.0% 41% 31% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 31% -19.2%
10% -21.3% 26% -26.9%
15% -28.9% 23% -34.0%
20% -35.9% 19% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1033 history records