trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahsin Mohammed: 2+ goals | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $332 | $330 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Ederson: 2+ goals | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $307 | $318 | +$11 (+4%) |
| Gessime Yassine: 2+ goals | No | 95¢ | 87¢ | $255 | $232 | −$23 (-9%) |
| Ruben Providence: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 89¢ | $127 | $116 | −$12 (-9%) |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $112 | $114 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Mohammed Muntari: 3+ goals | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $111 | $111 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Don Deedson Louicius: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 90¢ | $108 | $100 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Yassin Fortune: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $102 | $99 | −$3 (-2%) |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 88¢ | $98 | $88 | −$10 (-10%) |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $80 | $83 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $82 | $80 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Ross Stewart: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $78 | $78 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Ardon Jashari: 5+ shots | No | 96¢ | 60¢ | $124 | $77 | −$47 (-38%) |
| Ahmed Alaa: 3+ goals | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $74 | $74 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Connor Metcalfe: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $72 | $71 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Findlay Curtis: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 94¢ | $73 | $70 | −$3 (-4%) |
| Tyler Fletcher: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 90¢ | $69 | $63 | −$6 (-8%) |
| George Hirst: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 80¢ | $75 | $62 | −$13 (-18%) |
| Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goals | No | 97¢ | 88¢ | $65 | $59 | −$6 (-9%) |
| Ajdin Hrustic: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $59 | $57 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | $56 | $55 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Granit Xhaka: 5+ shots | No | 95¢ | 57¢ | $91 | $55 | −$36 (-39%) |
| Kento Shiogai: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 86¢ | $59 | $52 | −$7 (-12%) |
| Silvan Widmer: 4+ shots | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $50 | $50 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Ayoube Amaimouni: 2+ goals | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $49 | $49 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Weah: 5+ shots | Jun 13 | $28 | +$1 | +5% |
| Weston McKennie: 5+ shots | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Álex Arce: 5+ shots | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Isidro Pitta: 5+ shots | Jun 13 | $25 | +$2 | +9% |
| Gustavo Caballero: 5+ shots | Jun 13 | $21 | +$1 | +6% |
| Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $152 | +$4 | +3% |
| Gio Reyna: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $209 | +$6 | +3% |
| Weston McKennie: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $143 | +$2 | +1% |
| Tim Weah: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $188 | +$6 | +3% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $200 | +$7 | +3% |
| Malik Tillman: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |
| Antonio Sanabria: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $307 | +$13 | +4% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| Álex Arce: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $278 | +$11 | +4% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $55 | +$2 | +4% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $41 | +$1 | +3% |
| Isidro Pitta: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $68 | +$2 | +3% |
| Álex Arce: 2+ goals | Jun 13 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals | Jun 13 | $49 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ismaël Koné: 4+ shots | Jun 12 | $17 | +$2 | +10% |
| Esmir Bajraktarević: 5+ shots | Jun 12 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Esmir Bajraktarević: 2+ goals | Jun 12 | $63 | +$2 | +4% |
| Ermedin Demirović: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $111 | +$2 | +2% |
| Ermin Mahmić: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $63 | +$3 | +5% |
| Promise David: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $108 | +$2 | +2% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $52 | +$1 | +3% |
| Jovo Lukić: 2+ goals | Jun 12 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $86 | +$2 | +3% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals | Jun 12 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ goals | Jun 12 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $120 | +$2 | +2% |
| Samed Baždar: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $254 | +$8 | +3% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $219 | +$9 | +4% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals | Jun 12 | $76 | +$5 | +6% |
| Edin Džeko: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $138 | +$3 | +2% |
| Alphonso Davies: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | +2% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 12 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Denis Višinský: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $131 | +$3 | +2% |
| Oh Hyeongyu: 2+ Goals | Jun 12 | $18 | +$2 | +8% |
| Jan Kuchta: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $93 | +$2 | +2% |
| Hwang Heechan: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $186 | +$4 | +2% |
| Tomáš Chorý: 3+ goals | Jun 12 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Patrik Schick: 3+ Goals | Jun 12 | $127 | +$3 | +2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 85 | +1.0% | -8.7% | 96% | 5% | -6.5% |
| ≤30d | 165 | +2.3% | -7.5% | 95% | 7% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 207 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 90% | 8% | -8.2% |
| all | 379 | -20.6% | -28.1% | 65% | 12% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.1% | 12% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 9% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 8% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 6% | -32.8% |