Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec29…f8f0
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$781 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$607 · open −$174
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$179
Realized−$607
Unrealized−$174
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses26 / 52
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)78 / 82
History coverage28d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$334
7 days−$159
14 days−$159
30 days−$607
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 24¢ $200 $158 −$42 (-21%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 14¢ $50 $20 −$30 (-60%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $100 $1 −$99 (-99%)
Starmer out by June 15, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$181 +343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$54 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$50 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$42 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$65 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$30 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$54 +345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$13 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 08 $62 −$38 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $106 −$98 -92%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $480 −$236 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 08 $94 −$89 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$22 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $52 +$55 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 07 $16 −$13 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $15 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 07 $71 −$47 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $79 −$10 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $36 +$47 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 07 $101 −$96 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $52 +$60 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 07 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 07 $79 +$57 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$16 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $21 +$13 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$10 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 27 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 27 $16 −$11 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 27 $11 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 27 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 25 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 21 $1 −$1 -67%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 21 $1 $0 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$155
world 16% −$238
other 14% −$261
sports 5% −$127
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 35¢ $51 2m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $204 17m
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 61¢ $101 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $234 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $27 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $43 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $80 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $85 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $18 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +8.6% -1.7% 45% 45% -16.9%
≤30d 78 -17.4% -25.3% 33% 32% -31.3%
≤90d 78 -17.4% -25.3% 33% 32% -31.3%
all 78 -17.4% -25.3% 33% 32% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.3% 32% -31.3%
10% -32.5% 32% -37.8%
15% -39.0% 29% -43.8%
20% -45.0% 28% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.20 · official $179.20 (match) · 208 history records