Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec25…dbca
crypto · 1852 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2,491 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,491 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$2,491
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses926 / 510
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1436 / 1852
History coverage15d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day166.4
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days+$768
14 days+$2,338
30 days+$2,491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 738 +14.6% +3.6% 59% 51% +2.8%
≤30d 1436 +24.7% +12.8% 64% 55% +10.7%
≤90d 1436 +24.7% +12.8% 64% 55% +10.7%
all 1436 +24.7% +12.8% 64% 55% +10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.8% 55% +10.7%
10% ← realistic here +2.0% 55% +0.1%
15% -7.9% 55% -9.6%
20% -16.9% 54% -18.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.35 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records