Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:26:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EC 0xec24…01bc crypto 1387 markets active 1h ago coverage 71d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 70d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$807 (-3%) realized −$807 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate41%562W / 825L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day35.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$668
7 days−$668
14 days−$668
30 days−$1,058
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,437
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -58.3% -62.3% 18% 18% -66.2%
≤30d 347 -17.1% -25.0% 37% 33% -20.9%
≤90d 1387 -12.7% -21.0% 41% 38% -16.5%
all 1387 -12.7% -21.0% 41% 38% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 38% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 36% -24.5%
15% -35.5% 33% -31.8%
20% -41.8% 29% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$18 · ×1.23 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$807
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses562 / 825
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1387 / 1387
History coverage71d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day35.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1387 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$93 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$19 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$9 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$47 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$29 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$29 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$21 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 31 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 31 $11 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 31 $11 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 31 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 31 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $145 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $4 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $7 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records