Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:59:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec23…8852
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
10.0score
+$1,068 +65%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,070 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$590
Realized+$1,070
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses8 / 4
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)12 / 13
History coverage5d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,090
7 days+$1,070
14 days+$1,070
30 days+$1,070
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 51¢ 100¢ $200 $392 +$192 (+96%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 53¢ 52¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $104 +$603 +582%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $205 +$192 +94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$7 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$41 +40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $102 +$94 +91%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $103 +$167 +163%
Will Ireland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $104 −$104 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 11 $102 +$67 +66%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $102 +$76 +74%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $205 +$140 +69%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$1,071
other 31% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $706 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $205 2h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 53¢ $205 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $96 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $102 28h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $102 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $103 3d
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $104 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $102 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 59¢ $102 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 56¢ $102 4d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 59¢ $102 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 61¢ $102 4d
Will Ireland win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 7¢ $104 5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $205 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+56.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +72.9% +56.4% 67% 67% +58.4%
≤30d 12 +72.9% +56.4% 67% 67% +58.4%
≤90d 12 +72.9% +56.4% 67% 67% +58.4%
all 12 +72.9% +56.4% 67% 67% +58.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +56.4% 67% +58.4%
10% +41.5% 67% +43.2%
15% +27.8% 67% +29.4%
20% +15.3% 58% +16.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $590.27 · official $590.27 (match) · 23 history records