Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec21…a77d
crypto · 934 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$833 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$833 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$833
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses470 / 464
Open positions0
Markets (closed)934 / 934
History coverage17d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day172.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 934 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$318
7 days−$401
14 days−$437
30 days−$833
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$26 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$17 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$4 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$8 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$15 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$833
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 440 -10.3% -18.8% 49% 47% -18.3%
≤30d 934 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 49% -15.1%
≤90d 934 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 49% -15.1%
all 934 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 49% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 49% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 48% -23.3%
15% -32.1% 39% -30.7%
20% -38.8% 14% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records