Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebf7…0741
crypto · 64 markets active 225d ago
2.0score
−$8,663 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,663 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,663
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses29 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
Avg bet$484
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel strike on Iran on June 21? No 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Will Trump resign today? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Israel strike on Iran on June 23? No 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? No 10¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? No 13¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Israel strike on Iran on June 22? No 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? Oct 30 $33 +$3 +8%
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? Oct 30 $33 +$2 +6%
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? Oct 30 $33 −$33 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? Sep 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? Sep 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Sep 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 05 $10 −$6 -58%
Will Trump resign today? Sep 02 $102 −$102 -100%
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? Jun 23 $202 −$202 -100%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Jun 21 $204 −$2 -1%
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? Jun 20 $388 −$184 -47%
Israel strike on Iran on June 23? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Israel strike on Iran on June 22? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Israel strike on Iran on June 21? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET Jun 20 $1,827 −$979 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$30 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET Jun 20 $100 +$23 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $300 −$300 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$31 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$148 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$52 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$122 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$77 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4AM ET Jun 20 $200 −$22 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3 AM ET Jun 20 $145 −$145 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$74 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$30 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$88 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET Jun 20 $46 +$20 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$36 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET Jun 20 $925 +$121 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $450 +$178 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $200 −$7 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2 AM ET Jun 18 $144 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$41 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9 AM ET Jun 18 $351 −$351 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8 AM ET Jun 17 $839 −$173 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7 AM ET Jun 17 $420 +$104 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6 AM ET Jun 17 $265 +$155 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5 AM ET Jun 17 $184 +$81 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4 AM ET Jun 17 $117 +$66 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3 AM ET Jun 17 $102 +$15 +15%
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week? Jun 17 $150 −$90 -60%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? Jan 30 $55 −$18 -33%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? Jan 30 $37 −$37 -100%
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day? Jan 26 $22 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$537
tech 37% −$6,646
world 3% −$616
politics 2% −$244
sports 2% −$245
other 1% −$214
economics 1% −$160
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? SELL No 64¢ $36 224d
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? SELL Yes 56¢ $35 224d
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? BUY No 13¢ $33 225d
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? BUY Yes 53¢ $33 225d
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? BUY No 60¢ $33 225d
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 2¢ $6 267d
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 2¢ $33 267d
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? BUY No 10¢ $33 267d
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 8¢ $33 267d
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 14¢ $4 280d
Will Trump resign today? BUY Yes 2¢ $102 283d
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? BUY Yes 2¢ $202 354d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York SELL No 74¢ $202 356d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York BUY No 75¢ $204 356d
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? SELL No 4¢ $204 356d
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? BUY No 8¢ $378 356d
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? BUY No 7¢ $10 356d
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 33¢ $10 356d
Israel strike on Iran on June 23? BUY No 7¢ $10 356d
Israel strike on Iran on June 22? BUY No 4¢ $10 356d
Israel strike on Iran on June 21? BUY No 3¢ $10 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $428 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $420 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $63 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $357 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $407 356d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,000 356d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1,030 356d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1,000 356d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $123 356d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 64 -31.5% -38.0% 45% 23% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.0% 23% -34.8%
10% -44.0% 14% -41.1%
15% -49.4% 11% -46.8%
20% -54.3% 5% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 146 history records