Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:00:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebf5…b1d0
sports · 186 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$819 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$794 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized−$794
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses106 / 77
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$240
Open positions3
Markets (closed)183 / 186
History coverage37d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day88.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$177
7 days−$265
14 days−$200
30 days−$2,203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 94¢ 100¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 66¢ $33 $39 +$6 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 41¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 25¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 48¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) GIANTX 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Leviatan Esports 30¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Cavaliers 51¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 50¢ 0¢ $552 $0 −$552 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 29¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage SPARTA 54¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 79¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group D Lilmix 34¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Eberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 54¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Cristian Garin 32¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) THUNDER dOWNUNDER 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs L.820 (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage L.820 12¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 +$35 +325%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $50 +$55 +109%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $50 +$17 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $45 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 −$8 -49%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $32 +$42 +130%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $58 +$33 +57%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$37 +180%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +93%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $14 +$3 +18%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs L.820 (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage Jun 09 $17 −$17 -97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $13 +$1 +5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $9 +$6 +70%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $33 +$4 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$5 -51%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $48 +$26 +53%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $48 −$48 -99%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 08 $25 +$15 +62%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $18 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $28 +$1 +3%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $69 −$68 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $43 −$42 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14 +$5 +38%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $23 +$20 +89%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$29 +57%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 07 $283 −$279 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $47 +$60 +129%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $180 −$178 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $12 +$13 +105%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $37 +$18 +50%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $48 +$59 +123%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$2 +50%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $51 −$50 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $12 +$12 +101%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $93 −$33 -35%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $12 +$3 +24%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $18 −$2 -12%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $12 +$4 +32%
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) Jun 04 $4 −$4 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $2 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $6 +$4 +60%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $9 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $108 −$106 -98%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $92 −$90 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$813
other 0% −$7
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 56¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 43¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 42¢ $8 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 94¢ $50 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $3 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $38 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $45 16h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $3 18h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 18h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 18h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $5 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $7 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $43 20h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $11 21h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $3 21h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $4 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +23.3% +11.5% 67% 58% -26.3%
≤30d 156 +7.8% -2.5% 54% 47% -21.6%
≤90d 183 +12.7% +2.0% 58% 51% -13.3%
all 183 +12.7% +2.0% 58% 51% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.0% 51% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -7.8% 44% -21.6%
15% -16.7% 39% -29.1%
20% -24.9% 33% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.57 · official $92.57 (match) · 3500 history records