Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebeb…f9d6
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses27 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)61 / 72
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day168.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 11 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 14¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -88%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $13 +$10 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +456%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $3 +$20 +643%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +121%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$23
other 13% +$22
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +1.9% -7.8% 44% 38% -10.3%
≤30d 61 +1.9% -7.8% 44% 38% -10.3%
≤90d 61 +1.9% -7.8% 44% 38% -10.3%
all 61 +1.9% -7.8% 44% 38% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover168.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 38% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 30% -18.9%
15% -24.7% 23% -26.8%
20% -32.1% 20% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.14 · official $30.61 · 252 history records