trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Jun 22 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1,107 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1,118 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1,100 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 20 | $63 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 20 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 16 | $828 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 16 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 15 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 15 | $827 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 15 | $782 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? | May 15 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $819 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $832 | −$12 | -2% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | May 13 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 13 | $846 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election | May 13 | $846 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 04 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Apr 04 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 04 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Mar 30 | $157 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 30 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 30 | $46 | $0 | -0% |