Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebe3…6d17
crypto · 513 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses208 / 309
Open positions1
Markets (closed)517 / 513
History coverage2d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day1643.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$64
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 51¢ 62¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 37¢ 38¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 517 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 11% -9.9%
≤30d 517 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 11% -9.9%
≤90d 517 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 11% -9.9%
all 517 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 11% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1643.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 11% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 5% -18.5%
15% -25.4% 2% -26.4%
20% -32.7% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.15 · official $10.16 (match) · 3500 history records