Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:09:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebde…1de0
sports · 976 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,480 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,480 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,480
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses374 / 599
Est. fees paid−$481
Open positions0
Markets (closed)973 / 976
History coverage53d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day61.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 973 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$83
7 days−$56
14 days−$130
30 days−$979
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics Athletics 48¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 28¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 27¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 17¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Elise Mertens 16¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 22¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 27¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclik Billy Harris 21¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Stefan Dostanic 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 39¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 16¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao Lanlana Tararudee 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 33¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 15¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 Under 68¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarova Rebeka Masarova $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fenty Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 13 $5 −$1 -31%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Faria Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $81 +$7 +8%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $34 +$24 +72%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $7 +$2 +31%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $16 +$4 +23%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $51 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $36 −$35 -99%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $26 −$6 -23%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$11 +206%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $25 +$27 +108%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $30 +$6 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $30 +$16 +52%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3 −$2 -78%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $1 +$1 +80%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1 +$1 +87%
ITF kiseljak: Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Kirill Kivattsev Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $1 +$1 +61%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $12 −$7 -57%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $10 −$6 -57%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $25 +$12 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $14 +$4 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$2,196
other 3% −$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 74¢ $30 43m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec SELL Viktorija Golubic 65¢ $26 45m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Filippo Romano 38¢ $11 45m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec SELL Veronika Erjavec 33¢ $10 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 55¢ $22 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 56¢ $17 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 32¢ $10 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec SELL Viktorija Golubic 62¢ $12 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Emma Raducanu 76¢ $23 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 59¢ $12 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 63¢ $19 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 84¢ $11 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 98¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Emma Raducanu 59¢ $32 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Emma Raducanu 59¢ $4 2h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 37¢ $1 2h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 43¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 25¢ $8 2h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 56¢ $11 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 23¢ $7 2h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 69¢ $14 2h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam SELL Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 97¢ $19 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 74¢ $7 3h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 79¢ $16 3h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 33¢ $26 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 12¢ $3 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 67¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 50¢ $7 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 70¢ $10 5h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 27¢ $26 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +23.4% +11.6% 53% 49% -14.2%
≤30d 487 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 38% -23.8%
≤90d 973 -16.1% -24.1% 38% 35% -22.8%
all 973 -16.1% -24.1% 38% 35% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 35% -22.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.3% 32% -30.2%
15% -38.0% 28% -36.9%
20% -44.0% 22% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records