Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T10:02:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xebdd…9666 crypto 358 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (134 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$531 (+9%) realized +$542 · open −$11
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate67%239W / 118L
Drawdown28%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day134.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$550
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (134 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 357 +12.9% +2.2% 67% 67% -1.0%
≤30d 357 +12.9% +2.2% 67% 67% -1.0%
≤90d 357 +12.9% +2.2% 67% 67% -1.0%
all 357 +12.9% +2.2% 67% 67% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover134.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.2% 67% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here -7.6% 66% -10.5%
15% -16.5% 65% -19.2%
20% -24.7% 58% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late +9% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$17 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$542
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses239 / 118
Open positions1
Markets (closed)357 / 358
History coverage4d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day134.3
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 357 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 47¢ 18¢ $18 $7 −$11 (-63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 118 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $23 +$16 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $23 +$16 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$13 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $27 −$27 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$15 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$18 +84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 22 $19 +$20 +103%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 22 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 22 $15 −$14 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $22 +$15 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $29 +$16 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $23 −$22 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$10 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$17 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$16 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$22 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 22 $22 −$21 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 22 $34 −$33 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 22 $32 +$17 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $30 +$16 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$18 +71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 22 $22 +$21 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$17 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 22 $29 +$16 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 22 $20 −$19 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$18 +71%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$20 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 22 $22 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$16 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 22 $19 −$18 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$14 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$17 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $18 +$24 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $18 −$17 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $27 −$26 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 22 $22 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $23 +$11 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$15 +61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$15 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 22 $19 −$19 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $24 −$23 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 21 $25 +$17 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$3 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$14 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$15 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $23 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $27 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $19 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $18 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $22 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $23 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $16 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $27 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.83 · official $13.65 · 716 history records