trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 82% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $71 | $70 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Apr 09 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 09 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? | Apr 09 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 09 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 19 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? | Mar 05 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | Mar 05 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February? | Feb 24 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 27 | $17,521 | −$18 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Jan 20 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Jan 19 | $7 | $0 | +6% |