Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebcd…e8a3
crypto · 436 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$32
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses330 / 103
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)433 / 436
History coverage139d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 433 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$19
14 days−$31
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 74¢ 76¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 48¢ 30¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-39%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Over 83¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Washington Nationals 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $15 +$5 +34%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $6 +$1 +18%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $9 +$1 +16%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) Jun 09 $5 +$3 +54%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $8 +$3 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 +$2 +41%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Jun 04 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $6 −$6 -99%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 03 $3 +$1 +46%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 03 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET Jun 02 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $13 $0 +1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $8 $0 +0%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-28? Jun 01 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET May 30 $17 $0 +1%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 30 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET May 30 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET May 29 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET May 29 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET May 28 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET May 28 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET May 27 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET May 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET May 25 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET May 24 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET May 23 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET May 21 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET May 20 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET May 20 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET May 19 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET May 19 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET May 19 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET May 18 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET May 18 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET May 18 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET May 17 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET May 17 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET May 16 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET May 16 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 45% −$15
politics 19% −$2
other 13% +$15
sports 13% −$29
world 8% −$4
economics 1% $0
culture 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 48¢ $6 3m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 74¢ $9 1h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 70¢ $5 2h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 49¢ $10 2d
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) BUY Knicks 85¢ $6 2d
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 66¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $5 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 45¢ $6 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 86¢ $9 3d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 61¢ $6 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 49¢ $7 4d
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 65¢ $5 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 47¢ $10 5d
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Washington Nationals 34¢ $5 5d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 45¢ $10 5d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 69¢ $8 7d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Knicks 71¢ $1 7d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Knicks 71¢ $4 7d
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 46¢ $5 7d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 83¢ $12 9d
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $6 9d
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 68¢ $3 10d
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 86¢ $9 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $14 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 12d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $8 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 13d
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 96¢ $17 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -37.5% -43.4% 50% 40% -32.2%
≤30d 58 -8.5% -17.2% 86% 14% -13.4%
≤90d 256 -2.4% -11.7% 80% 4% -10.4%
all 433 -0.6% -10.1% 76% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 3% -9.9%
10% -18.7% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 1% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.67 · official $17.67 (match) · 2099 history records