Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:43:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebb2…20bc
other · 672 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses668 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)672 / 672
History coverage112d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 0 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 0 Denmark? Jun 09 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Russia 2 - 3 Burkina Faso? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 202 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Mali leading at halftime? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Josh Hart Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 10% a Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Yi-Tian Yeh Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Iraq? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT - Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: Draw at halftime? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will Once Caldas win Colombia Primera A? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Centurion 2: Completed Match: Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk Jun 04 $4 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 4? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dotsenko vs. Thamm: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Prostejov (Doubles): Pokorny/Sachko vs Ayeni/Pavlovic Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 2 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Agut vs. Barton: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: Lambo (-1.5) vs Shameless (+1.5) Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Broady vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
StarCraft II: Shameless vs Zoun - Map 1 Winner Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Real Zaragoza 0 - 1 Málaga CF? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Sloboda vs. Baena: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Jordan? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
CF Universidad de Chile leading at halftime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Granada CF 2 - 0 Real Sporting de Gijón? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Dota 2: NS Club vs Stariy Bog Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$10
sports 41% −$6
politics 4% +$1
weather 1% +$1
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
tech 1% $0
finance 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 3d
Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 0 Denmark? BUY No 100¢ $4 3d
Exact Score: Russia 2 - 3 Burkina Faso? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 202 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7d
Mali leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Josh Hart BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 10% a BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Yi-Tian Yeh BUY Yeh 99¢ $5 8d
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 8d
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Iraq? BUY No 100¢ $3 8d
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan BUY Gibson/Tjen 100¢ $5 8d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT - BUY Bigetron MY by VIT 100¢ $5 8d
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: Draw at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $3 8d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 100¢ $5 8d
Will Once Caldas win Colombia Primera A? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Centurion 2: Completed Match: Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk BUY Yes 100¢ $4 9d
First Blood in Game 4? BUY Galions 100¢ $5 9d
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 9d
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Dotsenko vs. Thamm: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 9d
Prostejov (Doubles): Pokorny/Sachko vs Ayeni/Pavlovic BUY Pokorny/Sachko 100¢ $5 9d
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 2 Guatemala? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 72 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 551 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 2% -9.4%
all 672 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1583 history records