Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:06:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xebb1…b340 crypto 36 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+1%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate78%28W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day14.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -0.2% -9.7% 78% 31% -10.1%
≤30d 36 -0.2% -9.7% 78% 31% -10.1%
≤90d 36 -0.2% -9.7% 78% 31% -10.1%
all 36 -0.2% -9.7% 78% 31% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 31% -10.1%
10% -18.4% 11% -18.7%
15% -26.3% 6% -26.5%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses28 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 72 history records