Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebab…8793
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$10
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses4 / 8
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)12 / 13
History coverage3d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 1 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Rinky Hijikata 66¢ 67¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Jun 14 $15 −$1 -7%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$35 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$24 -78%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$12 -48%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $35 −$1 -4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$40 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $32 +$13 +41%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $30 −$26 -85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$13
sports 31% −$26
crypto 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 66¢ $10 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi SELL Suzan Lamens 71¢ $14 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Suzan Lamens 75¢ $15 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 14h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $35 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 42h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes $7 42h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $31 43h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $13 43h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $25 44h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 90¢ $7 2d
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 67¢ $6 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 62¢ $34 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $35 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $66 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $25 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $46 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $32 2d
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen SELL Greet Minnen $4 3d
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Greet Minnen 59¢ $30 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -14.7% -22.8% 33% 33% -22.6%
≤30d 12 -14.7% -22.8% 33% 33% -22.6%
≤90d 12 -14.7% -22.8% 33% 33% -22.6%
all 12 -14.7% -22.8% 33% 33% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 33% -22.6%
10% -30.2% 33% -30.0%
15% -37.0% 25% -36.8%
20% -43.1% 17% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.15 · official $10.15 (match) · 23 history records