Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeba7…8f45 crypto 145 markets active 2h ago coverage 232d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$13 (+1%) realized +$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate96%139W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day0.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$7
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$4
other 5% −$1
finance 4% $0
sports 3% +$9
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 68 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.2%
≤90d 145 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 1% -8.7%
all 145 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 1% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 1% -8.7%
10% -19.4% 1% -17.4%
15% -27.2% 1% -25.4%
20% -34.3% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.43 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

232d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses139 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage232d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 145 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 15? Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Bolivia (-1.5) Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +7%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $13 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8? Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on June 1? Jun 02 $7 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 31 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 30 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30? May 30 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET May 30 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: North Macedonia (-1.5) May 29 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 45h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 46h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
Spread: Bolivia (-1.5) BUY Algeria 98¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 5d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $10 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 7d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $15 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 1506 history records