Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T10:24:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeba7…2d1f crypto 417 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 3d only
✗ bot/MM pace (783 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! loses its big bets
Total PnL +$1,384 (+1%) realized +$1,384 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate89%372W / 45L
Whale WR14%big bets
Drawdown52%max
Avg bet$464per market
Trades / day782.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$602
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (783 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 417 +0.3% -9.3% 89% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 417 +0.3% -9.3% 89% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 417 +0.3% -9.3% 89% 1% -9.2%
all 417 +0.3% -9.3% 89% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover782.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 1% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 14% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$43 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,384
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses372 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)14%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)417 / 417
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$464
Trades / day782.5
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 417 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $346 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 26 $339 −$24 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $390 −$23 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $87 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $522 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $522 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $522 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $126 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $268 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $522 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $159 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $495 +$5 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $98 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $226 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $213 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $340 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records