Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:23:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xeb9e…41b5 sports 1539 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,306 (-6%) realized −$4,306 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1508W / 29L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day45.9pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$60now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 41d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 46% +$119
other 36% +$15
sports 18% −$1,436
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +1.1% -8.5% 98% 1% -8.4%
≤30d 762 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 1537 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 1% -11.1%
all 1537 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 1% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 1% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -19.6%
15% -26.6% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.8% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$58 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.23 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$60
Realized−$4,306
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1508 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1537 / 1539
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$50
Trades / day45.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 1537 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: Hero (-2.5) vs LGD NBW (+2.5) LGD NBW 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs Hero JiuJing (+2.5) Hero JiuJing 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 20 $10 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $63 $0 +0%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 20 $48 +$42 +88%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) Jun 19 $15 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs FORZE Esports (BO5) - BetBoom Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $35 +$65 +187%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $999 +$1 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $110 $0 +0%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5) Jun 19 $15 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs T1 Academy (+2.5) Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Game Handicap: Hive (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5) Jun 19 $14 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $89 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $24 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Overwatch: Falcons vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 19 $30 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $125 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $29 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $75 $0 +0%
Overwatch: ZANSIDE GAMING vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Gr Jun 19 $29 +$1 +2%
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $76 $0 +0%
Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 FC Utrecht? Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $14 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $56 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $95 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs Hero JiuJing (+2.5) BUY Hero JiuJing 100¢ $30 13m
Game Handicap: Hero (-2.5) vs LGD NBW (+2.5) BUY LGD NBW 100¢ $30 13m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) SELL Ursa 100¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $63 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Paris Gentle Mates 99¢ $13 9h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Paris Gentle Mates 99¢ $7 9h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 11h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 52¢ $26 11h
Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) BUY Power Rangers 100¢ $15 12h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs FORZE Esports (BO5) - BetBoom BUY FORZE Esports 99¢ $10 12h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 19¢ $7 12h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 19¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $999 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $110 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 99¢ $30 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 17h
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) BUY EDward Gaming 99¢ $30 18h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.97 · official $59.97 (match) · 3500 history records