trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -44.8% | -50.1% | 35% | 35% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -44.8% | -50.1% | 35% | 35% | -21.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -44.8% | -50.1% | 35% | 35% | -21.3% |
| all | 20 | -44.8% | -50.1% | 35% | 35% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -50.1% | 35% | -21.3% |
| 10% | -54.8% | 30% | -28.9% |
| 15% | -59.2% | 30% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -63.2% | 20% | -42.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-36%) |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $465 | +$236 | +51% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $203 | +$262 | +129% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $131 | +$72 | +55% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju | Jun 21 | $4 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 22? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $61 | +$43 | +70% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$7 | +12% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $40 | +$16 | +40% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 17 | $603 | −$587 | -97% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $256 | −$250 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $96 | −$95 | -99% |