Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb95…a3d3
sports · 20 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$7 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$30
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)11 / 20
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 9 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $4 +$8 +206%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $13 +$18 +139%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 38% +$3
other 32% +$8
culture 28% −$5
politics 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes $0 49m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 72¢ $5 55m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $4 11h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 BUY Yes 27¢ $10 25h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut SELL Boston Breach $0 31h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Boston Breach 23¢ $4 32h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Paris Gentle Mates 35¢ $5 32h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 35¢ $5 33h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $3 33h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $5 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 34h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 35h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $5 2d
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $5 2d
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m BUY Yes 54¢ $8 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 89¢ $32 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes $2 2d
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 2d
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes $1 3d
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes $1 3d
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes $1 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +14.2% +3.3% 55% 45% +10.8%
≤30d 11 +14.2% +3.3% 55% 45% +10.8%
≤90d 11 +14.2% +3.3% 55% 45% +10.8%
all 11 +14.2% +3.3% 55% 45% +10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.3% 45% +10.8%
10% -6.6% 45% +0.2%
15% -15.6% 45% -9.5%
20% -23.9% 27% -18.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.74 · official $29.74 (match) · 30 history records