Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:10:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb8c…2cfa
crypto · 609 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses248 / 360
Open positions1
Markets (closed)608 / 609
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 608 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$38
14 days−$41
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 69¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 427 -8.3% -17.0% 38% 37% -14.9%
≤30d 608 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 40% -15.5%
≤90d 608 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 40% -15.5%
all 608 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 40% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 40% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 38% -23.6%
15% -32.0% 35% -31.0%
20% -38.7% 32% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $3.48 · 993 history records