Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:42:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb85…5068
crypto · 553 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$42 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses287 / 266
Open positions0
Markets (closed)553 / 553
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day69.5
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$36
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$42
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 +3.6% -6.3% 52% 52% -4.4%
≤30d 553 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 52% -4.9%
≤90d 553 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 52% -4.9%
all 553 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 52% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 52% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 52% -14.0%
15% -23.9% 52% -22.3%
20% -31.4% 52% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 841 history records