Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T20:29:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
EB 0xeb7c…2f73 crypto 282 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$304 (+1%) realized +$304 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate92%259W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$104per market
Trades / day8.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$321
14 days+$396
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +8.3% -2.1% 100% 18% -2.1%
≤30d 270 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 24% -9.5%
≤90d 282 +0.5% -9.0% 92% 25% -9.1%
all 282 +0.5% -9.0% 92% 25% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 25% -9.1%
10% -17.7% 7% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 1% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$105 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.06 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses259 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)282 / 282
History coverage34d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 282 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET Jun 18 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $102 +$30 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $102 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 573 history records