Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb77…59dd other 78 markets active 13d ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-1%) realized −$2 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -77% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -81% what you keep after slip
Net edge-81%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day16.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit31%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 63% −$19
sports 34% −$8
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-79.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 142 -76.8% -79.0% 0% 0% -65.2%
≤90d 142 -76.8% -79.0% 0% 0% -65.2%
all 142 -76.8% -79.0% 0% 0% -65.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -79.0% 0% -65.2%
10% -81.1% 0% -68.5%
15% -82.9% 0% -71.6%
20% -84.6% 0% -74.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -62% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -77% · $-wt -62% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -57% → late -97% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions15
Markets (closed)142 / 78
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit31%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 15 History 142 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Club Blooming vs. Club The Strongest end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 57¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+71%)
CD La Serena to score first vs. Audax CS Italiano? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Neither team to score first? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Audax CS Italiano to score first vs. CD La Serena? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Club The Strongest to score first vs. Club Blooming? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Club Bolívar vs. Bamin Real Potosí: Neither team to score first? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Club Bolívar vs. Bamin Real Potosí end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Bamin Real Potosí to score first vs. Club Bolívar? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Club Blooming vs. Club The Strongest: Neither team to score first? Yes 33¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Club Blooming to score first vs. Club The Strongest? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Club Bolívar to score first vs. Bamin Real Potosí? Yes 50¢ 49¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-2%)
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-06-14? Yes 33¢ 44¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-06-14? Yes 33¢ 44¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 42¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 90 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Criciúma EC vs. Ceará SC: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Tunisia to score first vs. Sweden? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-14? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
AA Ponte Preta to score first vs. EC Juventude? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will FK Haugesund vs. Ranheim end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: Neither team to score Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-14? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Keflavik IF vs. FH Hafnarfjordur end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ceará SC to score first vs. Criciúma EC? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Londrina EC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-15? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-06-14? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
CD Universidad de Concepción to score first vs. CD Universidad Católic Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Athletic Club vs. Goiás EC: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Botafogo FC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-15? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will AC Oulu win on 2026-06-13? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ecuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: Neither team Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-12? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will EC Juventude vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Londrina EC vs. Avaí FC: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
CD Coquimbo Unido to score first vs. O'Higgins FC? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Avaí FC to score first vs. Londrina EC? Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 13d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 13d
Botafogo FC to score first vs. Operário Ferroviário EC? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 13d
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Operário Ferroviário EC to score first vs. Botafogo FC? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Clube Náutico Capibaribe to score first vs. Grêmio Novorizontino? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13d
Grêmio Novorizontino to score first vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 13d
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 13d
Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Neither team to sco SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13d
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 13d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 13d
Athletic Club to score first vs. Goiás EC? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 13d
CD Unión La Calera to score first vs. CF Universidad de Chile? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 13d
Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 13d
Will Keflavik IF win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 13d
Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 13d
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Egersunds IK win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Raufoss IL win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 13d
EC Juventude vs. AA Ponte Preta: Neither team to score first? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 13d
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 13d
Will Ranheim win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 13d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 14d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 14d
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 14d
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.30 · official $7.30 (match) · 282 history records