Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb77…ef9e
sports · 840 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$19,644 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19,960 · open −$316
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$6,184
Realized+$19,960
Unrealized−$316
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses503 / 330
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$16,247
Open positions6
Markets (closed)833 / 840
History coverage49d
Avg bet$1,586
Trades / day60.2
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 6 History 833 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,705
7 days+$5,281
14 days+$7,558
30 days+$9,134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 87¢ 83¢ $2,000 $1,902 −$98 (-5%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Over 80¢ 69¢ $2,000 $1,722 −$278 (-14%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 72¢ $1,000 $993 −$7 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 82¢ $500 $589 +$89 (+18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 51¢ $500 $490 −$10 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $500 $487 −$12 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $1,007 +$290 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3,735 +$332 +9%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2,483 −$408 -16%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $1,012 −$551 -54%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1,754 +$295 +17%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $505 −$125 -25%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1,005 +$213 +21%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $2,007 −$2 -0%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $505 +$256 +51%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $507 +$473 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1,512 +$554 +37%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2,007 +$263 +13%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $1,897 +$105 +6%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $3,031 −$1,096 -36%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $505 +$241 +48%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1,251 +$534 +43%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $505 +$175 +35%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $2,008 +$315 +16%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $1,008 −$297 -29%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $304 +$261 +86%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $1,012 −$428 -42%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1,004 +$160 +16%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $1,005 −$191 -19%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $1,009 +$420 +42%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $2,005 +$190 +10%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $1,317 +$378 +29%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $3,287 −$1,057 -32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3,029 +$40 +1%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $506 −$29 -6%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $506 −$127 -25%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $3,645 −$317 -9%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 11 $506 −$64 -13%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $2,009 +$342 +17%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $507 −$507 -100%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $505 +$219 +43%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2,009 +$324 +16%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1,005 +$213 +21%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,513 −$31 -2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $2,009 +$344 +17%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $1,514 +$677 +45%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $3,024 −$1,033 -34%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $505 +$282 +56%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $1,515 −$277 -18%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $1,011 +$575 +57%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $3,014 +$540 +18%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $505 +$254 +50%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2,010 −$43 -2%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $506 +$355 +70%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,007 +$172 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $2,808 +$498 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$11,672
other 9% +$7,707
crypto 0% +$350
world 0% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $504 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Over 80¢ $2,012 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $1,297 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $3,024 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $1,009 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $203 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 42¢ $509 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 27¢ $342 3h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 77¢ $1,007 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $813 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 73¢ $605 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 58¢ $601 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 82¢ $869 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 54¢ $702 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 88¢ $1,004 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 86¢ $1,004 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 52¢ $507 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $506 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1,008 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $1,007 4h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Zsombor Piros 18¢ $151 4h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Zsombor Piros 37¢ $309 4h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 48¢ $660 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 100¢ $1,813 4h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 51¢ $507 4h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 72¢ $1,008 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 75¢ $1,007 5h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 49¢ $240 5h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 25¢ $236 5h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Zsombor Piros 39¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 +9.5% -1.0% 64% 58% -5.8%
≤30d 571 +3.3% -6.5% 61% 55% -8.6%
≤90d 833 +3.6% -6.3% 60% 54% -8.2%
all 833 +3.6% -6.3% 60% 54% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 54% -8.2%
10% -15.2% 41% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -23.4% 24% -25.0%
20% -30.9% 11% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,184.08 · official $6,684.33 · 3030 history records