trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 27 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 17 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $111 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 06 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 17 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 12 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Apr 08 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 06 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 27 | $112 | $0 | -0% |