Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb6d…9d85
other · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses18 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage462d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $26 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 10 $49 $0 +0%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 17 $4 $0 -5%
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? Dec 14 $9 $0 +3%
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Jun 27 $1 $0 +12%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi Jun 26 $1 −$1 -73%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? May 21 $19 $0 -0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? May 20 $7 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? May 20 $1 $0 +0%
Will 'Train to the End of the World' win Crunchyroll's Best Original A May 19 $9 $0 +1%
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? May 18 $9 $0 +1%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? May 17 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 17 $1 $0 -23%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025? May 17 $9 $0 +0%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? May 15 $11 −$3 -23%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election? May 14 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16? May 14 $4 −$1 -29%
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? May 14 $9 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? May 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? May 11 $14 $0 -0%
Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? Apr 12 $14 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? Apr 10 $14 $0 +0%
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters? Apr 10 $14 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 09 $14 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? Apr 09 $14 $0 +0%
Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%? Apr 08 $14 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? Apr 07 $14 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 06 $14 $0 -1%
Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? Apr 05 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 5? Apr 05 $13 $0 +3%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? Mar 30 $5 −$1 -14%
Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? Mar 30 $8 +$1 +13%
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? Mar 27 $12 $0 +0%
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? Mar 26 $14 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? Mar 22 $13 +$1 +4%
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 14-21? Mar 20 $11 $0 +2%
Will Trump post less than 80 times March 14-21? Mar 19 $13 $0 -1%
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 7-9m on opening weekend? Mar 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 18 $13 $0 -0%
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 17 $22 $0 -1%
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? Mar 16 $16 $0 -0%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? Mar 16 $15 +$1 +5%
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 12 $15 $0 +0%
Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday? Mar 11 $16 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 37% −$5
world 21% −$1
sports 11% $0
tech 8% $0
finance 8% $0
crypto 7% +$1
politics 4% $0
weather 2% $0
economics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $8 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 4h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $53 8h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $53 10h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 75¢ $26 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 75¢ $26 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $32 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $17 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $33 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $15 3d
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 94¢ $3 178d
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 350d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi SELL Yes 0¢ $0 351d
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $2 372d
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $2 372d
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? SELL No 93¢ $4 386d
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? BUY No 93¢ $7 387d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 98¢ $7 387d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $7 388d
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? SELL No 97¢ $7 388d
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 388d
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? BUY No 97¢ $7 389d
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 389d
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 389d
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 389d
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 389d
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 389d
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 389d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi BUY Yes 2¢ $0 389d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 25% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 25% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 25% 0% -9.3%
all 47 -4.8% -13.8% 38% 4% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 4% -10.3%
10% -22.1% 0% -18.9%
15% -29.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -36.5% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 141 history records