trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +562% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 24? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 9? | Jun 09 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 47% | 32% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 47% | 32% | -16.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 47% | 32% | -16.1% |
| all | 19 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 47% | 32% | -16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.6% | 32% | -16.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -21.8% | 26% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 21% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 16% | -38.2% |